https://hkjc-predict.pages.dev/ 2026-09-18 daily 1.0 https://hkjc-predict.pages.dev/og/blog.svg HKJC Predict · 量化體育分析研究平台 https://hkjc-predict.pages.dev/racing/ 2026-09-18 daily 0.9 https://hkjc-predict.pages.dev/football/ 2026-09-18 daily 0.9 https://hkjc-predict.pages.dev/marksix/ 2026-09-18 daily 0.6 https://hkjc-predict.pages.dev/blog/ 2026-09-18 weekly 0.9 https://hkjc-predict.pages.dev/og/blog.svg HKJC Predict 研究隨筆 https://hkjc-predict.pages.dev/blog/brier-score/ 2026-09-17 monthly 0.9 https://hkjc-predict.pages.dev/og/brier-score.svg Brier Score · 用統計學衡量預測的準不準 https://hkjc-predict.pages.dev/blog/implied-probability/ 2026-09-17 monthly 0.9 https://hkjc-predict.pages.dev/og/implied-probability.svg 隱含機率 · 從賠率讀出市場怎麼看這場賽事 https://hkjc-predict.pages.dev/blog/kelly-criterion/ 2026-09-17 monthly 0.9 https://hkjc-predict.pages.dev/og/kelly-criterion.svg Kelly Criterion · 用數學決定下注比例 https://hkjc-predict.pages.dev/blog/lgbm-features/ 2026-09-18 monthly 0.9 https://hkjc-predict.pages.dev/og/lgbm-features.svg LGBM 特徵工程 · 賽馬模型的特徵怎麼建 https://hkjc-predict.pages.dev/blog/dixon-coles/ 2026-09-18 monthly 0.9 https://hkjc-predict.pages.dev/og/dixon-coles.svg Dixon-Coles 校正 · 足球比分模型的低分修正 https://hkjc-predict.pages.dev/blog/ema-adaptive/ 2026-09-18 monthly 0.9 https://hkjc-predict.pages.dev/og/ema-adaptive.svg EMA 自適應學習 · 模型如何記住昨天的教訓 https://hkjc-predict.pages.dev/blog/half-time-poisson/ 2026-09-18 monthly 0.9 https://hkjc-predict.pages.dev/og/half-time-poisson.svg 半場預測的數學 · 入球時間分佈與 Poisson 過程 https://hkjc-predict.pages.dev/blog/market-divergence/ 2026-09-18 monthly 0.9 https://hkjc-predict.pages.dev/og/market-divergence.svg 市場偏差訊號 · 當模型與賠率意見相左 https://hkjc-predict.pages.dev/legal/terms/ 2026-09-18 monthly 0.3 https://hkjc-predict.pages.dev/legal/privacy/ 2026-09-18 monthly 0.3 https://hkjc-predict.pages.dev/legal/responsible-research/ 2026-09-18 monthly 0.5 https://hkjc-predict.pages.dev/legal/jurisdiction-cn/ 2026-09-18 monthly 0.4 https://hkjc-predict.pages.dev/legal/attribution/ 2026-09-18 monthly 0.3 https://hkjc-predict.pages.dev/forum/ 2026-09-18 daily 0.6 https://hkjc-predict.pages.dev/archive/ 2026-09-18 daily 0.5